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2024-12-13 10:23:46

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.The FTSE A50 index closed down 0.01% at 13,475 points in a row.The number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures reached a new high in recent five years. In 2024, the spot price of steel continued to hover near the production cost line, which made the development of steel enterprises face a staged dilemma. In order to stabilize daily operations, more and more iron and steel enterprises began to participate in the futures market, the most direct manifestation of which is the significant increase in the number of registered warehouse receipts for steel futures. In November this year, the registered volume of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts in Shanghai Futures Exchange once reached 523,100 tons, a record high of nearly five years. Previously, the registered volume of rebar futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 210,100 tons in the past five years in September this year, and the registered volume of stainless steel futures warehouse receipts reached the highest value of 197,100 tons since listing in July this year. (SSE)


The latest 24-hour situation tracking of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict (December 12) The conflict situation: 1. The French President considers deploying a European peacekeeping force in Ukraine. 2. Uzbekistan claims that the city of Zaporoge was attacked by Russian troops, resulting in 6 deaths and 22 injuries. The Ukrainian military said it attacked the oil depot in the Bryansk region of Russia. 4. Russian Ministry of Defence: Russian air defense forces destroyed 14 Ukrainian drones overnight. 5. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: On December 10th, Ukraine attacked the car in which the experts of the International Atomic Energy Agency were riding, and the attack occurred near the nuclear power plant controlled by Ukraine. 6. Russian media: The Russian side said that it was attacked by six ATACMS missiles today. Russia said it would respond to today's ATACMS missile attack. 7. Governor of Belgorod, Russia: Ukrainian troops fired more than 30 shells in Belgorod within 24 hours, causing no casualties or property losses. 8. US officials: Russia may launch another experimental "Oreshnik" missile to Ukraine in the next few days. The United States focuses on providing Ukraine with an air defense system to defend against Russian missiles and drones. Others: 1. Polish Prime Minister Tusk: He will visit Ukraine in early 2025. 2. Hungarian Prime Minister: Zelensky categorically rejected the ceasefire on December 25th. 3. German Chancellor Scholz: The Ukrainian energy sector needs a lot of private investment. 4. Sources: NATO may raise its expenditure target to as high as 3% of GDP. 5. Diplomat: The EU envoy failed to reach an agreement on the 15th round of sanctions against Russia. 6. Ukrainian Finance Minister: Ukraine can resist at least until the middle of next year without American assistance. 7. US Treasury Secretary Yellen: US sanctions against Russia "continue to tighten" and have tried to curb Russian income through innovative ways. 8. Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs: The relationship with the United States is in jeopardy, calling on Russian citizens not to travel to the United States. Russia has asked the United States to agree to appoint a new ambassador to the United States. 9. Two sources: Ukrainian President Zelensky used his first meeting with Donald Trump since the US presidential election to show that Ukraine needs security guarantees in any negotiations to end the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.The rate of return of the money fund has reached a record low. Since December, the rate of return of the money fund has continued to decline. The annualized rate of return of Tianhong Yubao Money Fund, the largest, fell below 1.27% on the 7th, hitting a record low. According to industry insiders, the recently released "Self-discipline Initiative on Optimizing the Self-discipline Management of Non-bank Interbank Deposit Interest Rate" has a great impact on the Monetary Fund, and the superimposed interest rate is at a low level, and the yield of the Monetary Fund may continue to decline. As the income decreases, funds will look for new directions for allocation. (SSE)The onshore RMB closed at 7.2615 yuan against the US dollar at night, down 124 points from Tuesday's night closing. The turnover was $57.609 billion.


In recent years, the installed capacity of new energy generation in China has increased rapidly, and the demand for new energy storage and other regulatory resources has also increased. The energy storage development track is competing with each other, and the total output value of the industry will reach trillion level. In many new energy storage routes, lithium-ion batteries occupy more than 90% of the energy storage, and they are firmly in the first place; All-vanadium redox flow battery has high hopes because of its advantages of high safety, long life and expansibility, and has a good application prospect in the field of large-scale energy storage. This year, Sichuan Province issued the first national special policy to support the development of vanadium battery industry, Panzhihua City, Sichuan Province put forward the vision of building "China Vanadium Power Capital", and the demonstration project of all-vanadium liquid energy storage power station with commercial lease mode was launched here. In November, the project completed the bidding for the procurement of all-vanadium flow battery equipment, which has benchmarking significance for the integration and development of vanadium energy storage industry and financial services industry. (Securities Times)Scientists observed semi-Dirac fermion for the first time, and scientists from Pennsylvania State University and Columbia University joined hands to observe a special kind of quasi-particle-semi-Dirac fermion for the first time. Such quasi-particles have mass when moving in one direction, but lose mass when moving in the other direction. The researchers said that in-depth research on these quasi-particles is expected to promote the development of next-generation batteries, sensors and other technologies. Related papers were published in the new issue of Physical Review X.Market News: The United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution by an overwhelming majority, demanding an immediate and unconditional permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.

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